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投資不求人 在家賺全世界的錢 --- 外匯投資. 輔 大 經 濟 系 陳 秀 淋. 外匯保證金交易盛行,影響力日漸提高! 2007 年將突破每天 3 兆美元. 外匯投資. 雙幣定存 (DCD) 外匯保證金交易. 外匯市場組織與特色. 外匯交易市場是個 現金銀行間市場 或 交易商間市場 它並非傳統印象中的實體市場,沒有實體的場所供交易進行,交易是透過電話及經由電腦終端機在世界各地進行。 是全球最大的金融市場,每日交易額高達 1.5 兆美元以上 。. 外匯市場組織與特色. 相較於其他市場 , 外匯市場資訊透明度高 , 是 全球最流通 的市場。 可作同時兩邊買賣 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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---
20073
(DCD)
1.5
, ,
24
/
:
Example: /1 100,000 1? (.01) x USD100,000 /109.46 = $9.13 1 $9.13 /1 =$9.13109.45 109.46 100,000 $9.13/1 100,000 1? (.0001) x EUR100,000 = $10 /1 =$10.00 1.2300 1.2301 100,000 $10.00
DCD (Dual Currency Deposit)
Call optionsE=; B=Call optionsEgainLossEBgainLossPut optionsEBgainLossPut options= =
10/9USD20,0000.889010/1610/160.8831: 0.86351010/160.88310.8635,
: 0.88906810/160.88900.883120,000/0.889022497.1920,000 68 7/ 360264.44264.44/0.8890297.46AUD22794.65
, ,
100
(1020)()20, 120
Example ( ) () 1.235010EUR/USD1.245010EUR/USD (1.2450 1.2350) 100,000 + USD 1,000
( ) = ( ) 112.5010USD/JPY111.5010USD/JPY( 111.50 112.50 ) 100,000 111.50 USD 865.80
Example:10,000/
(1) (,)(2)(3)
(1) 5% 10 100,000 5% USD 5000(2)Margin Call: 3% 100,000 3% USD 3000 5 %(3) : 1% 100,000 1% USD 1000
(Margin)10-20
24
: ():
:A. (1)GDP (2) (3)Current Account (4)Balance of trade
B. (1) Non-Farm Payrolls (2)Unemployment Rate (3)initial jobless claims
C. (1)Consumer Confidence (2)Retail Sales (3)Auto Sales (4)New home sales D. (1)PMIor ISM (2)Durable Goods Orders (3)Industrial Production (4)Capacity Utilization
E. (1)(PPI) (2)(CPI)
: , CPI PPI C: I: G: X-M:- GDP ISM G7
ForexFactory.com - http://www.dailyfx.com/calendar/ http://www.bloomberg.com/ (Bloomberg)ForexNews.com - DailyFX ()- ForexTV.com - > - Yahoo > > > - http://www.ftchinese.com/sc/index.jsp ()
,?(G7,FED,ECB)
(Moving Average)(or KD) (STC) (RSI)(Bollinger Band) (MACD)Fibonacci(0.236, 0.382, 0.5000.618)J-Chart
:::
:
1.2.3.4.
:
: 9298:57930284650K100K
:
1.2.3.4.5.
:106:3250
:1015:7252
:92101612726
:1.2.3.
:
Account: SLChenName: ecos1031Currency: USD2009 September 15, 09:44Closed Transactions:TicketOpen TimeTypeSizeItemPriceS / LT / PClose TimePriceCommissionTaxesSwapProfit759415652009.09.01 02:40sell1usdjpy92.9293.1892.782009.09.01 04:3493.18000-279.03760901722009.09.03 07:18buy1usdjpy92.3092.0492.442009.09.03 09:0492.44000151.45762533402009.09.08 03:22sell1usdjpy92.9393.1892.782009.09.08 04:3992.78000161.67764020362009.09.10 01:54buy1usdjpy92.0691.8392.232009.09.10 04:0892.23000184.32764157552009.09.10 09:35buy limit1usdjpy92.0691.9592.162009.09.10 09:4392.10cancelled765269812009.09.14 04:21buy1usdjpy90.5590.4090.642009.09.14 09:4890.6400099.29765866982009.09.15 04:33buy1usdjpy90.9390.7391.132009.09.15 05:2791.13000219.47000537.17Closed P/L:537.17Summary:Deposit/Withdrawal:0Credit Facility:0Closed Trade P/L:537.17Floating P/L:0Margin:0Balance:5 537.17Equity:5 537.17Free Margin:5 537.17
9 --------------
9
, 2008/08/15
8151716317401834018320
2008/08/25
2010
Thanks for you attention
(Moving Average) 2: (SMA) - ( n)(510)n nn (EMA) //
(STC) KD0 100 K 2020% DK ( KD) 8020 1. KDD() 2. KDD() 3. K D 4. K D 5. K D (RSI) RSI(relative strength index) RSI 1.RSI 2. RSIMW 3. RSI 4. RSI 5. RSI (Bollinger Band) / 20202202 / (MACD) MACDGerald Appel2612, 9MACDMACD9 MACDMACD, MACD, a)MACD b)MACD /(Fibonacci) (Fibonacci)0.236, 0.382, 0.5000.618 0.382 0.500 0.6180.382 0.500 0.6181/0.382(1)A, B, 0.618 []
50%50% 311.38222.618