2014 , , , , , , ,

, , , , , ,

/ 2014 8 27~28

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/ 2014 / /

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CONTENTS

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>>> > 2014 >

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2014

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. . 2009 12 15 (COP15) . .

2011 3 23 . , .

Camp for Climate Action 2009, 2010 . , , .

2014 . 2014 . .

2014.8.27.

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2014 3

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2014 8 27 ()

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15:00~15:30(30) OX/

15:30~16:00

16:00~17:30(90)

COP21,

17:30~18:00(30)

OX/

18:00~19:00

19:00~20:00(60)

20:00~21:30(90)

21:30~

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2014 8 28 ()

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80 2014

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. 2030 40 . 2010 , 2011 20 80 3 . 2014 . 3 26-27 . . . . ( 14:27) . . .( 121:1-2) .

81

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. . .

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.

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102 2014

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COP21 1)

2014

( )

1. Post-2020 COP 19

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, , . UNFCCC COP . IPCC 5 , . post-2020 UNFCCC COP

1) 19 (COP 19) , 2013, ENERZINE FOCUS 52 .

2) Climate Action Network. NGO .

3) Climate Justice Now! Jubilee South 3 NGO( ) Focus on the Global South NGO .

104 2014

()

COP 1 1995. 3 Berlin

Mandate

2000 (Ad hoc Group on Berlin Mandate) , 3 , 2000 GHG

COP 2 1996. 7 . IPCC SAR " " .

COP 3 1997. 12 Kyoto Protocol

Annex I , (ET, JI, CDM) . Annex I 2012 1990 5.2% GHG .

COP 4 1998. 11

Buenos Aires Plan of Action

. . COP 6 . non-Annex I

. post-2020 2011 (Durban Platform) 2015 (COP21) . (Conpenhagen Accord),2009' (Cancun Agreement, 2010)' post-2020 , (COP19) (COP20) .

. , . , 2020 . .

post-2020 COP21 , . - .

2. UNFCCC COP

[] UNFCCC COP

105

()COP 5 1999. 11 COP 6

COP 6 2000. 11 2002 , Umbrella (EU)

COP 6.5 2001. 7 Bonn

Agreement

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COP 7 2001. 11 Marrakesh Accords

.

COP 8 2002. 10 The Delhi Ministerial

Declaration

, , . ,

COP 9 2003. 12

? ? ? . CDM . (Speacial Climate Change Fund) (LCDs : Least Developed Countries)

COP 10 2004. 12

SBSTA , , 5 . 1 (2008~2012)

COP 11 2005. 11

19 1 . 2012 1 . 2012 (two track apprach - AWG & dialogue)

COP 12 2006. 11

2 (2013~2017) . COP 13 . CCS CDM

106 2014

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COP 13 2007. 12 Bali Action

Plan,

Post-2012 . , , (MRV) . 2009 COP 15

COP 14 2008. 12 COP 15

COP 15 2009. 12 Copenhagen

Accord

Post-2012 ( )

COP 16 2010 Cancun

Agreement

post-2020

COP 17 2011 Durban Platform

post-2020

COP 18 2012 COP 19 2013 COP21

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107

[] UNFCCC COP (2009) (2010) (2011) (2012)

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108 2014

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2 , . (bottom up) (top down) . . . . EU , . , . 1.5 post-2020 . . 2020 .

2)

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, . .

3)

. pre-2020 . 2020

109

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EU (HFCs) , pre-2020 . EU . .

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7 .

110 2014

COP - -

2014

( )

1.

1) 2014 (UNFCCC COP) , COP20 COP . , .

2) 2000 COP , COP 2000 . COP 2007 COP13 .

3) Post-2012 2009 COP15 , 2010 .1) . COP16 COP17 COP () Post-2020 COP . . .

4) (?) COP21 COP . COP20 COP21 ,2) COP21 , COP20 3) .

5) 2007 COP , COP13 COP19

1) . .215(2010 ). pp.116~134; . . . . 2011. pp.393~428.

2) . 2014 / . ENERZINE FOCUS 53(2014. 2. 13).3) . : , .ENERZINE FOCUS 28(2011. 6. 15).

111

, COP20 . . , COP , . , COP20 : , .

2. (Solidarity for Climate Justice)

1) 1990 , 3 , , .4) 2002~2007 . COP , , 1989 COP (CAN) (CJN/CJA) .

2) 2005 .5) 2007 COP13 , , , , ,6) 2011 .7) , COP . [ 1] .

4) Patrick Bond. Climate Justice: Movement Below. Politics of Climate Justice: Paralysis Above, Movement Below. University of KwaZulu-National Press. 2012. pp.185~214.

5) , , , , 21 COP , .

6) . COP16 . 11 . 2010; . . 2010 . ?( , 2010. 3. 17).

7) . , . ( 13 , 2011. 5. 25) .

112 2014

[ 1]

2001 8) -

2002 (6)+10(8~9) (10) COP8

2004 (10) COP10 -

2005 COP11 (~2006)

2007 COP13(CJN) COP13 9)

2008 COP14 ()COP14 10)

2009

(1~2) (, 9~10)(CJA) ()(MJC) () COP15

2009(10)11) COP15 12)

2010 (4) 2010 (, 11) COP16

2010(10)13)G20 (11) COP16 14)/COP16 15)

2011 (3) COP17 (5)16)

2012 +20 COP18GGGI (2015 )

2013 GCF (, 12) COP19 BIG ASK( )

2014 (, 10) COP20 2014(8)

2015 COP21 -

8) .. . . 2012. p.322.9) , , , , , , , ,

, .10) , , , , , , ,

, , , , , ? , , .

11) 2009 : , , , ,

113

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4) (2011 5) . , , , , ,

, , .12) , (, , , , ),

, (, , , , , , , (), , YMCA, , , ), , , , .

13) 2010 : , , 21 , , , , , , .

14) , , , , , (, , , , , , , (), , YMCA, , , ), , , , , , , .

15) , , .16) 2011 5, 21 , , , ,

(ViaCampesina) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , .

17) . .18) . . 2010 . ?(

, 2010. 3. 17).19) . COP16 . 11 .

2010. , , , , (. . . 2012. 5 15).

114 2014

, , , , . , , , , .20) . .

5) . 2011 . .21) . , , 2011 , 2012 , , . , , , ( ), . , , , . 2 , , () , , . COP17~COP19 . , COP (, ).

6) () . . 2009~2012 22) COP18 (GCF) 23)

20) . ! : . 101(2011 7/8). pp.8~16; . : , .ENERZINE FOCUS 28(2011. 6. 15).

21) 130115.22) (2010.5)(, ); (2012. 2).23) 2010. 6);

115

(?) , , .

7) , COP , COP , (, , ) .

3. COP20 :

1) Anti COP . COP , COP , , .24) (geography of climate justice) , , .25) COP .

2) , , .26) . 2009 , .27) (Camp for Climate Action) , . , , .28) . , .

>(2011. 5)24) Lee, Jung-Pil. Triple Strategies beyond UN Climate Regime. Climate Justice Strategy: Beyond UN Climate

Regime and Global Green New Deal. ECPI. Durban COP17 Special Publication. 2011. pp.2~5.25) Susannah Fisher. The emerging geographies of climate justice. The Geographical Journal.

2014(http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/geoj.12078/pdf).26) . . . . 2012.

pp.188~190.27) Russell, Bertie Thomas. Interrogating the post-political: the case of radical climate and climate justice

movements. PhD thesis, University of Leeds. 2012(http://etheses.whiterose.ac.uk/3348/). 28) .. . . 2013. pp. 188~189.

116 2014

? ? ? .

3) Big Ask( ) . . , .29) , . , ? .

4) , ? ( ) ? ? , , , , , , , , 4, , , () , , , , , , , , , Car Free City , .30) , , , ? , ?

5) COP20 . , COP21 , (COP ) , , NGO .31) .

29) . .60(2014 ). pp.208~228.30) . NGO . 2010 .

?( , 2010. 3. 17).31) . 19 (COP 19) . ENERZINE FOCUS 52(2013. 11. 11).

117

. ?6) . 2014 5,

. , , , , (GCF) , .32) GCF . GCF , GCF .33) , COP GCF .

32) . .33) . , ? ( 1 ,

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118 2014

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, , , . (//// ) , . 10 . 2007 2 5 , 5 2012 5 2,500 .

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119

2.

2-1.

1953 UN (Atoms For Peace)' , 1955 , 1956 , 1958 .

(62) , 1 .

, , 10% .

1990 , .

1 2010 42.1% . 2003 12 3 46.7% 44.7%, 2020 43.4% .

2007 3 2011 , .

MB 2008 1 (2008~2030) 2008 24% 2030 41%, 36% 59% . 2010 5 , 34 4~6 . , 2009 12 UAE 2010 1 .

, 1988 1990 , 1995 2000 12 , 2005 .

, 2004 , . (, 2012)

120 2014

1955. 1956. 1958. ,

53,UN Atoms For Peace

57 IAEA

1962. (TRIGA-MARK-) 1966. 1978. 1 (587,000MW, 21 )

78 79

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121

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, . , 2012 21 3,909 2011 19 8,719 1 5,190 7.6% . 16 1,407 2011 14 2,170 1 9,236 13.5% , 5 2,502 56,549 4,047 7.2% .( 2014)

, 2012 144, 1,000 , , , PS, , 9. , 100 1,000 , GS , SK, , , , , , , , 26 .

( : )

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 20031) 2,364 2,139 2,074 1,734 2,169 1,919 2,030 2,095 2,2272) - - 4,450 5,812 6,598 7,578 7,807 8,146 8,832 - - 6,524 7,546 8,767 9,497 9,837 10,241 11,059 76 115 124 131 162 167 158 148 139 23,441 24,740 23,006 21,218 20,698 20,646 20,798 20,736 20,951 10 11 12 14 16 16 16 18 18 N/A 2 6 6 4 4 4 2 2

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2,291 2,215 2,305 2,504 3,765 3,973 4,782 5,655 5,250 9,009 10,075 10,495 10,311 10,829 11,463 11,977 14,217 16,141 11,300 12,290 12,800 12,815 14,594 15,436 16,759 19,872 21,391 138 131 105 103 131 149 157 174 144 21,201 21,120 20,784 20,810 21,460 23,297 23,835 26,200 28,195 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 21 23 1 4 4 6 6 6 8 7 5 : , 1~18

1) , , , , NDT , , , , , , .

2)

122 2014

, 2012 , , 2 337(38.7%), 8,845(16.8%), 6,628(12.6%), 5,096(9.7%), 3,808(7.3%), 2,485(4.75%) . , 2012 , 100 35(28%), 100 90 (72%).

(2012 )

: (2014)

, , (66.5%), (44.2%), (19.7%), (17.7%), (17.1%), (4.3%), (1.2%) .

123

( : , %)

: (2014)

, 2012 28,195 26,200 1,995 7.6% .

: (2014)

124 2014

, 28,195 25,591(90.8%), 2,604(9.2%).

, ( : , %)

: (2014), 18

(5,922), (3,988), (3,920), (3,840), (3,339), NDT (2,708), (2,699), (1,779) .

( : , %)

: (2014), 18

125

2-3.

.

, NDT, ( ), ,

NSSS, T/G

, , ,

, , , NDT NDT

: , 18

2012 (), () (), () (), KPS(), , 9 , 1,000 .

, , , , , , 7 , 271 125 . , 62 27 , 21 , , 3 , , 4 , , , 7 .

126 2014

, 2003 2 2,269 2012 52,502 10 3233 10% , 2012 . 10%, 10.9%, 9.5%, 8.5% , 3.7%, 22.5% ( ).

( : , %)

: , 18

, 5 (//KPS//) , 2012 2 8,667 (5,250) 54.6% . MB 5 (23,423) 47%(11,004) .

5 ( : )

08~12 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007

5 11,003,476 2,866,673 2,719,320 2,316,484 1,845,874 1,255,124 930,513

127

: "" , . , ., .

08~12 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 32,666,392 7,856,769 6,669,497 6,150,985 6,279,481 5,709,660 4,089,542

2007 () 1.92 1.63 1.50 1.54 1.40

21,738,719 5,647,086 4,367,013 3,959,124 4,003,313 3,762,183 2,045,6682007

() 2.76 2.13 1.94 1.96 1.84

3,520,297 978,079 978,079 739,250 467,526 357,364 151,9642007

() 6.44 6.44 4.86 3.08 2.35

10.78% 12.45% 14.66% 12.02% 7.45% 6.26% 3.72%

08~12 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 47,092,228 10,433,442 10,104,552 10,004,558 9,278,579 7,271,097 5,649,098

2007 () 1.85 1.79 1.77 1.64 1.29

1,989,016 475,385 475,385 488,821 450,188 99,237 91,6542007

() 5.19 5.19 5.33 4.91 1.08

4.22% 4.56% 4.70% 4.89% 4.85% 1.36% 1.62%

128 2014

KPS ( / )

08~12 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 4,343,766 1,006,609 925,497 842,544 805,243 763,873 681,395

2007 () 1.48 1.36 1.24 1.18 1.12

1,711,687 388,996 369,653 324,948 316,661 311,429 267,1712007

() 1.77 1.68 1.48 1.44 1.42

39.41% 38.64% 39.94% 38.57% 39.32% 40.77% 39.21%

08~12 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 963,876 238,627 232,869 183,312 169,265 139,803 110,891

2007 () 2.15 2.10 1.65 1.53 1.26

08~12 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2,818,601 785,586 663,335 580,154 442,234 347,292 308,833

2007 () 2.54 2.15 1.88 1.43 1.12

1,829,764 370,206 465,258 463,313 306,970 224,017 196,0342007

() 1.89 2.37 2.36 1.57 1.14

()

08~12 2012 2011 2010 2009 357,336 58,288 133,382 46,783 118,883

2009 () 0.49 1.12 0.39

129

2008~2013, ( )(:)

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3,4 349,481 1,867,714 151,136 96,301 186,035 61,567 2,712,233 82,566 52,732 96,207 89,513 70,880 41,164 565 351,061 106,259

88,159 10,491 35,638 151,063 13,855 12,982 312,188 79,386 - - - 477 34,126 316 34,919

2-4.

2008 2012 __ , 537 , 4,631, 4 2,110 . .

( : )

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 4,631 3,559 911 184 953 229 874 129 620 99

:

2-5.

MB 5 , 2 _ (2001~2012)

0

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2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12

20125 2500

20072 5040

: (1997~2014)

130 2014

2012 21,909 (GDP) 1,272.5 1.68%. , , 5(//KPS//) 2012 2,867 (5,250) 54.6% . MB 5 (23,423) 47%(11,004) .

, 2012 144, 1,000 , , , PS, , 9. , 100 1,000 26 /.

_ (17.9%)

2012 28,195 26,200 1,995 7.6% . 28,195 25,591(90.8%), 2,604(9.2%). , 20 (36), 30 (496), / 20 (194) .

_ R&D

2012 UAE 1 4,900 . 1993 5 200 1 , , 1997 ( ) AECL 3(PHWR, 700MW 2) . 2012 IAEA, OECD 2 , , , , , 48 637 207 . 2009 12 UAE (APR1400 4, 186 ).

2012 IAEA, , , , , , , , , , , , , 13, 52, 9,255 . 2012 - UAE , KPS, , , PS, , , , , , , . (, 2012)

131

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2008

AB

2009201020112012

2008~2012 :

3. ()

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132 2014

, .(, 2014)

, . , . 2008 2014 100 . ( 6. )

.

(2008~2014)

3-2. -

, . , , -- .

, (1 ) 59, 2013 5 6 3,931( 15 808 42.4%) . , KPS(463 ) 2013 5 2 , (179 ) 2012 4 2 , YPP( ) 67(238) .(, 2013)

(2013.10.14), (1) 59 5 6 3 931

( 15 808 42.4%) KPS(463 ) 5 2 (179 ) 4 2 YPP( ) 67(238)

133

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, , . , , , .

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18~19 1

2008-11-28 ,,,,,

()/()/()/(SK)/,(KPS)/()

2008-11-28

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2006-05-25 ()

2011-11-03 ()

2008-11-28 ()/()/

() 2008-11-28

2013-11-15 ()/()*

(2014), , 2009 , 47 569 , 9 (OB) 206 2,791 5 5 56.6%, 64.5% . (55)

134 2014

3-4. R&D

1997 2010 2 2,464 .

( : ) 97~03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

19,664 8,248 1,587 1,564 1,688 1,694 1,598* 1,678 1,607 4,869 2,048 417 444 287 369 400 442 462 24,533 10,296 2,004 2,008 1,975 2,063 1,998 2,120 2,069

(08 137) 3)

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135

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.

, , , , R&D , .

, , . (, 2014)

(2012), , ENERZINE FOCUS 41(2014), , (2014-6-29) (2007-09-02), , , (2007)(2013.12.), (2014), 18 (1997~2014), 1~18(2014), (2013), 1 59 6,

136 2014

1.

: (2014), 18

137

2. 2012

: (2014), 18

138 2014

3. ( : )

10

#1,2 #1,2 6,104 5,090 1,014

#1,2 #1,2 9,737 8,903 834

#3,4 #3,4 10,883 10,354 529

#1,2 #1,2 16 15 1

7,034 6,710 324

7,993 7,746 247

41,767 38,818 2,949

11

#1,2 #1,2 3,131 2,653 478

#1,2 #1,2 8,323 7,337 986

#3,4 #3,4 14,581 12,754 1,827

#1,2 #1,2 4,999 4,732 267

#5,6 #3,4 67 65 2

#3,4 #1,2 16 16 0

7,242 7,147 95

8,068 8,475 -407

S/Y 789 756 33

47,216 43,935 3,281

12

#1,2 #1,2 1,128 755 373

#1,2 #1,2 6,250 4,653 1,597

#3,4 #3,4 12,420 11,601 819

#1,2 #1,2 6,946 6,551 395

#5,6 #3,4 105 110 -5

#3,4 #1,2 43 45 -2

8,115 7,861 254

9,650 9,465 185

S/Y 2,978 2,747 231

47,635 43,788 3,847

:

139

(VAT)() 1 () 3 4,120,002,000 2 () 2 789,500,000 3 () 9 10,459,135,171 4 () 7 62,254,195,400 5 () 1 739,320,000 6 () 25 38,502,143,321 7 () 14 20,692,198,000 8 () 21 10,016,582,299 9 () 2 526,423,000 10 () 45 24,594,510,869 11 () 2 4,827,099,919 12 () 3 1,932,424,780 13 () - -14 ENEC - -15 ENEC BRAKA - -16 Fugen21c - -17 GS 2 95,744,000 18 KEPCO INGS - -19 YPP 67 23,824,935,591 20 () 16 5,162,427,180 21 ENC( ) - -22 - -23 179 2,480,043,346,498 24 () 5 15,760,360,000 25 () 9 21,304,008,674 26 () 8 60,182,202,720 27 () 37 36,584,112,628 28 3 391,477,000 29 161 57,153,502,581 30 - -31 6 8,714,310,000 32 68 18,781,094,349 33 19 5,716,729,996

4. ( 5)

140 2014

(VAT)() 34 38 112,544,911,499 35 32 15,248,488,532 36 - -37 19 74,134,064,848 38 PM - -39 1 28,500,000 40 () 200 760,301,472,488 41 22 200,730,387,190 42 463 2,272,312,576,333 43 ()44 () 68 44,648,535,903 1,557 6,393,116,722,769

: (2013)

141

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KPS 1962.8.23 () KPS 1960.11.9 () 2008KPS 1967.7.7 () 2008KPS 1946. 4. 7 () () 2008

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2008~2013 , 6 2009~2014 ,, 6 2008~2012 () 5 2010~2014 4 2008~2012 , 4 08~09/11~12 , 4 2010~2012 , 3 2012~2014 () 3 2011~2013 KPS() 3 2012~2014 3 2011~2013 3 2009/2012~2013 , 3 2010~2012 ,, 3 2009~2011 3 2011~2014 3 2008/2010 2012 3

2008~2010 3 2011~2013 () 3 2009, 2011, 2013 3 2011~2012, 2014 , 3 2011~2013 (), 3

2009~2011 , 3 2011~2013 () 3 2010~2012 3 2012~2013 , 2 2013~2014 2 2012~2013 ,2 2 2012~2013 2 2009, 2014 , 2 2008~2009 , 2 2012, 2014 2 2008~2009 2 2012, 2014 ,BG 2

6. (2008~2014)

144 2014

2008, 2011 , 2 2010~2011 2 2011 1 2012 GS 1 2008 KPS 1 2014 1 2013 1 2014 KPS 1 2009 1 2014 1 2013 1 2014 1

2014 1 2008 1 2013 1 2009 1 2013 1 2011 1 2012 1 2011 1 2014 1 2011 1 2011 1 2014 1 2009 1 2008 1 2012 1 2008 1 2008 - 1 2012 1 2014 1 2009 1 2011 1 2008 1

145

2013 1 2014 1 2014 1 2008 1 2014 1 2012 1 2014 1 2008 1 2014 1 2013 1 2013 1 2014 1 2009 1 2013 1 2013 1 2009 1 2008 1 2010 1 2012 1 2012 1 2009 1 2008 1 2014 1 2008 1 2014 1 2014 1 2013 1 2014 1 2014 1 2013 1 2009 KPS 1 2009 1 2010 1

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146 2014

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