הכלכלה הגלובלית והיצוא הישראלי

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Presentation for Australia & NZ

, 2011

1 :

. 2011 - 3.2%, - 3.9% 2011 - 7.7%. " . *, " -10 13.6%, " 14.6% 14.8%. . S&P 8%.

* -8 -30 2 ": 2011 1.8%, 2.1%. 2010 " 3.1% 2.8%.

, 0.7% . .

0.4%, . ( ) 0.2%. -12 -3.1%. 1.3%.

0.5% , 0.6% . 0.4% , 0.5% .

3 :

, . 143% " (328 ) 10.5% " (24.1 ).

0.8% 2011, 0.3% . ( 1.5%) . (1%).

. 10.1% 2010, - 9.9% .

, 0.25% 1.25% 2008. -12 2.8%, .

4 :

, - 12.5 - 8.5 - - 32%. ". - 110.2 , - 9% 2010 - 101.2 .

5.4% " . -0.5% 21%. 2010.

. -11.4 , 1.7 . 29% ( 36% ) 22% ( 27% ).5 :

. 7.3%, 3.7% . 16.9%. . , .

0.5%, 0.25% - 7.25%. . 2010 2% .

- 9% - 8.3%. 2011 - 8.3%.6EIU

"

, , 2009. ,59.4 51.8 . . : JPMorganJPMorgan global PMI output51.88

JPMorgan () 55.0 - . , .: JPMorganJPMorgan global manufacturing PMI55.09

JPMorgan , 21 . 51.0 , , 59.2 .: JPMorganService Sector Business Activity51.010

: S&P, S&P GSCI , . 8% ( ) 3.5%. BRENT -8% ( , , , ) -10% (, , , , ) -4%, (, ) -6%. 0.5%.

, BRENT1/5-31/511

- 2011 4.2% ( - 2011) 9.1% . 3.6% 8.7% .

* , -, , 13 - , , - 0.7%* . - -9%, - 24% 5%.

* - 2011, - 201114 - - , ,

7.5%*

2%

, - - 1% - 20% * - 2011, - 2011

- "** , . . 2011* 19% - 2.4 . 23% . .

16 2011* 14.5% -1.7 . -9% . -84 .

* , . .17 , ( ) - 2011 -519 .: "

, ( ) - 2011 -357 .: "

, ( ) - 2011 -479 .: "

, ( ) - 2011 -836 , .: "

, ( ) - 2011 -121 , .: "

, ( ) - 2011 -51 .: "

: iplma - 2011 49.2 48.5 . , . -4.2 , (52.4 '). 1.1 ' (48.1 ').

24

2011 ( ) 0.2%. , . (0.53%) 12 (0.45%). :

25

, 2011 (100=2004) 0.4% 0.8% . .. , .

26 , -12 0.25% 3.25%, . , , .: 27

/ 1.24% 3.437 3.47 , 7.1% 2010.: 2010/$28

/ 1.7% 4.95 4.98 , 0.6% 2010.: /29"

30 2011 1.8%, 2.1%. 2010 " 3.1% 2.8%. 3.4%-3.9% 3.1%-3.3%. " 2.9% -2.8% .

31 " 4.6% , 1.5% . , .

4.9% 1.9%. .

32 " 5.2%, 45.8 -48.2 - 2010.

($B 18.1), ($B 9), ($B 6.2), ($B 6.1).

33 9.0%, 4 .

244 , 216 .

34 0.4%, . ( ) 0.2%.

-12 3.1%. 1.3%. :12 :

35 0.4% , 0.6%. -4.8%, 4.6% .

0.4%, 0.5% . -3% -1% .

36 , 0.7% *.

( 0.4%) . * 0.8% 0.7%

37 60.4 ( 61.2 ).

59.5 . - ISM

38 () 52.8 , 0.3%.

6 . 2009, . - ISM* 400 -60 : , '

39Tech Pulse 2011 -11.4%, 8% . 12 10.8%.

40, :shauli@export.gov.il

41