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과과과과과 과과과 과과과 과과과과 과과과 과과과 과과과 과과과 과과 과과 2030 년년 년년년 년년년 www.finegovt.co www.finegovt.co m m 과과과과과 과과과과과 과과 과과과

2030 년의 한국과 리더십

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www.finegovt.com. 2030 년의 한국과 리더십. 과학기술의 변화가 초래할 매트릭스 사회 와 과학적 합리성 제고를 위한 전략. 서울대학교 행정대학원 교수 김광웅. 세상의 변화 – 패러다임의 변화 (Ⅰ). 디지털 시대 접속의 시대  소유에서 접속으로 , 시장에서 네트워크로 , 물자에서 시간으로  물건자체가 필요한 것이 아니라 물건의 기능이 필요  제품은 무료 , 서비스는 유료  부동산보다는 時産이 중요  종래의 클럽보다 시간공유공동체 등장 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • 2030 www.finegovt.com

  • () , , , (); ( );On-line / Off-line

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    Chart1

    11041.1

    4290.8

    2405.4

    1802.9

    1760.4

    1469.9

    1469.8

    869.9

    840.8

    626

    605

    541.8

    512.8

    508.7

    492.9

    430.1

    322.5

    302.1

    301.8

    286.4

    2003 GDP

    (10)

    Chart2

    28188.2

    9870.7

    9858.7

    4819

    4797.3

    4209.5

    3519.7

    3210.3

    2810.4

    2358.3

    2332.7

    1926.2

    1918.9

    1844.1

    1530.7

    1083.6

    1065.3

    979.3

    832.8

    789.1

    2020 GDP

    10

    Chart3

    11041.128188.2

    4290.89870.7

    2405.44819

    1802.94797.3

    1760.44209.5

    1469.93519.7

    1469.89858.7

    869.92358.3

    840.82332.7

    6261918.9

    6051926.2

    541.82810.4

    512.81083.6

    508.71530.7

    492.91844.1

    430.13210.3

    302.1789.1

    286.41065.3

    2003 GDP

    2020 GDP

    10

    2020

    Sheet1

    2003GDP2020GDP

    11,041.1028,188.2028,188.20

    4,290.809,870.709,870.70

    2,405.409,858.704819

    1,802.9048194797.3

    1,760.404,797.304209.5

    1,469.904,209.503519.7

    1,469.803,519.709858.7

    869.93,210.302358.3

    840.82,810.402332.7

    6262,358.301918.9

    6052,332.701926.2

    541.81,926.20

    512.81,918.90

    508.71,844.10

    492.91,530.70

    430.11,083.60

    322.51,065.30

    302.1979.3

    301.8832.8

    286.4789.1

    11,041.1028,188.20

    4,290.809,870.70

    2,405.409858.7

    1,802.904819

    1,760.404797.3

    1,469.904209.5

    1,469.803519.7

    869.93210.3

    840.82810.4

    6262358.3

    6052332.7

    541.81926.2

    512.81918.9

    508.71844.1

    492.91530.7

    430.11083.62003GDP

    322.51065.328,188.20

    302.1979.31,802.909,870.70

    301.8832.81,760.409,858.70

    286.4789.11,469.904,819

    1,469.804,797.30

    869.94,209.50

    840.83,519.70

    6263,210.30

    6052,810.40

    512.82,358.30

    11,041.1028,188.20508.72,332.70

    4,290.809,870.70492.91,926.20

    2,405.404,819430.11,918.90

    1,802.904,797.30302.11,844.10

    1,760.404,209.50301.81,530.70

    1,469.903,519.70286.41,083.60

    1,469.809,858.701,065.30

    869.92,358.30979.3

    840.82,332.70832.8

    6261,918.90789.1

    6051,926.20

    541.82,810.40

    512.81,083.60

    508.71,530.70

    492.91,844.10

    430.13,210.30

    302.1789.1

    286.41,065.30

    1.0028,188.2011,041.1028,188.20

    2.009,870.704,290.809,870.70

    3.009,858.702,405.404819

    4.0048191,802.904,797.30

    5.004,797.301,760.404,209.50

    6.004,209.501,469.903,519.70

    7.003,519.701,469.809,858.70

    83,210.30869.92,358.30

    92,810.40840.82,332.70

    102,358.306261,918.90

    112,332.706051,926.20

    121,926.20541.82,810.40

    131,918.90512.81,083.60

    141,844.10508.71,530.70

    151,530.70492.91,844.10

    161,083.60430.13,210.30

    171,065.30302.1789.1

    832.8286.41,065.30

    789.1

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

  • -

  • ( )

  • 1

    Chart1

    131993252321128

    1234192132232

    1231182241426

    1226152241827

    122741592330

    1224511181635

    1229311161838

    123137172228

    123337261828

    1531210302427

    IMD :1993-2002

    Sheet1

    1993199419951996199719981999200020012002

    1111111111

    3222222225

    343126272429313331

    25191815453332

    232122221511117710

    234491816172630

    11221418231618221824

    28322627303538282827

    Chart2

    4136162613920

    3129191614821

    3128151112619

    2132111014422

    12416521723

    243911121723

    143322413321

    WEF : 1997-2002

    Sheet2

    1996199719981999200020012002

    4332121

    1111244

    36292832413933

    16191511612

    2616111051124

    13141214212113

    9864773

    20211922232321

    Sheet3

  • 2

    Chart1

    131993252321128

    1234192132232

    1231182241426

    1226152241827

    122741592330

    1224511181635

    1229311161838

    123137172228

    123337261828

    1531210302427

    IMD :1993-2002

    Sheet1

    1993199419951996199719981999200020012002

    1111111111

    3222222225

    343126272429313331

    25191815453332

    232122221511117710

    234491816172630

    11221418231618221824

    28322627303538282827

    Chart2

    4136162613920

    3129191614821

    3128151112619

    2132111014422

    12416521723

    243911121723

    143322413321

    WEF : 1997-2002

    Sheet2

    1996199719981999200020012002

    4332121

    1111244

    36292832413933

    16191511612

    2616111051124

    13141214212113

    9864773

    20211922232321

    Sheet3

  • 318/22 (1993)- ( ) ( 298, 284, 275, 442(1)) , , : /////,// 97%, 91% 36%

    ---

  • : , 2003 34

  • 32 : , 2003 34

  • : 2002 , 2004

  • - http://www.worldbank.org/ 1. (voice and accountability) - , ,

  • - 2. (political instability and violence) -

  • - 3. (government effectiveness) -

  • - 4. (regulatory burden) - (incidences)

  • - 5. (rule of law) -, , ,

  • - 6. (control of corruption) -

    Chart1

    68.194.282.291.195.895.392.181.21263.452.951.8

    68.181.284.893.290.193.78878.57.951.85542.9

    68.681.780.692.191.185.38976.410.549.257.642.4

    67.788.483.893.995.589.994.479.310.165.257.142.9

    68.990.88294.294.789.394.778.27.343.252.437.4

    Voice and Accountability

    Chart2

    51.285.471.38993.98684.886.650.696.35381.7

    57.67786.180.692.786.786.787.949.790.359.464.2

    65.584.874.586.789.789.191.588.554.59757.661.8

    63.271.478.470.382.249.787.690.345.991.961.157.8

    59.763.156.371.479.160.786.983.546.696.641.758.7

    Political Stablility

    Chart3

    78.289.982.796.692.795.593.387.266.510074.383.2

    74.990.284.798.492.391.897.885.264.510062.880.9

    72.688.77996.895.793.596.285.56410062.974.2

    81.19182.197.59291.59684.665.210066.782.1

    80.390.470.294.288.593.895.786.560.199.565.481.3

    Government Effectiveness

    Chart4

    78.586.782.997.894.595.68982.34799.469.682.9

    58.282.676.698.490.896.289.16942.91005670.1

    69.579.179.196.890.495.290.481.836.910077.564.2

    75.584.783.29892.990.894.978.137.89964.869.4

    71.977.381.894.188.786.793.183.7359951.264.5

    Regulatory Quality

    Chart5

    81.988.683.194.69492.292.88837.399.471.182.5

    76.889.782.796.892.491.494.690.352.499.569.276.8

    73.888.880.7939292.596.390.948.798.96971.1

    76.587.274.593.492.391.393.988.348.592.360.267.9

    68.688.97193.793.292.394.289.940.695.751.764.7

    Rule of Law

    Chart6

    76.786.774.79490.79096.784.758.797.34276

    68.990.784.794.593.491.397.385.860.796.754.680.9

    7189.283.395.291.992.596.287.644.699.547.868.8

    66.888.87694.492.992.395.485.244.499.547.466.8

    62.188.774.994.693.192.693.686.239.999.549.364.5

    Control of Corruption

    Sheet1

    Governance Indicatoryear

    Voice and Accountability199668.194.282.291.195.895.392.181.21263.452.951.8

    199868.181.284.893.290.193.78878.57.951.85542.9

    200068.681.780.692.191.185.38976.410.549.257.642.4

    200267.788.483.893.995.589.994.479.310.165.257.142.9

    200468.990.88294.294.789.394.778.27.343.252.437.4

    Governance Indicatoryear

    Political Stability199651.285.471.38993.98684.886.650.696.35381.7

    199857.67786.180.692.786.786.787.949.790.359.464.2

    200065.584.874.586.789.789.191.588.554.59757.661.8

    200263.271.478.470.382.249.787.690.345.991.961.157.8

    200459.763.156.371.479.160.786.983.546.696.641.758.7

    Governance Indicatoryear

    Government Effectiveness199678.289.982.796.692.795.593.387.266.510074.383.2

    199874.990.284.798.492.391.897.885.264.510062.880.9

    200072.688.77996.895.793.596.285.56410062.974.2

    200281.19182.197.59291.59684.665.210066.782.1

    200480.390.470.294.288.593.895.786.560.199.565.481.3

    Governance Indicatoryear

    Regulatory Quality199678.586.782.997.894.595.68982.34799.469.682.9

    199858.282.676.698.490.896.289.16942.91005670.1

    200069.579.179.196.890.495.290.481.836.910077.564.2

    200275.584.783.29892.990.894.978.137.89964.869.4

    200471.977.381.894.188.786.793.183.7359951.264.5

    Governance Indicatoryear

    Rule of Law199681.988.683.194.69492.292.88837.399.471.182.5

    199876.889.782.796.892.491.494.690.352.499.569.276.8

    200073.888.880.7939292.596.390.948.798.96971.1

    200276.587.274.593.492.391.393.988.348.592.360.267.9

    200468.688.97193.793.292.394.289.940.695.751.764.7

    Governance Indicatoryear

    Control of Corruption199676.786.774.79490.79096.784.758.797.34276

    199868.990.784.794.593.491.397.385.860.796.754.680.9

    20007189.283.395.291.992.596.287.644.699.547.868.8

    200266.888.87694.492.992.395.485.244.499.547.466.8

    200462.188.774.994.693.192.693.686.239.999.549.364.5

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

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    100 '' NEWSWEEK 2005 10 1

  • () 1962 - 1966 1972 1980

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  • Steven Spielberg : , (Spiel-bug) E.T, ,

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  • Phil Jackson , Shaquille ONeal Kobe Bryant New Age Approach; a blend of Eastern & Western ideas

  • (BN) 1982, 1986, 1990, 1995, 1999 1979 1989

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  • 1) (decisiveness)2) (vision/imagination)3) (ambition)4) (dedication)5) (thoroughness)6) (concern for result)7) (calmness in crisis)8) (stamina)9) (self-confidence)10) (charisma)11) (understanding of others and of self)12) (ability to communicate/articulate)13) (ability to delegate)14) (sense of humor)15) (enthusiasm)16) (intelligence)17) (tact/diplomacy)18) (professional competence)19) (courage/willingness to stand alone)20) (luck)21) (public ethics) The Oxford Strategic Leadership Program, Templeton College, Oxford University

  • Bill Clinton 4

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  • 21 .()- THE END